How Math Is Used to Manipulate You - Dr. Norman Fenton & Dr. Martin Neil - DS Pod #295

Dr. Norman Fenton and Dr. Martin Neil are mathematicians from
Queen Mary University of London who are experts in the
unreasonable power of mathematics. For example - it is possible
to produce an algorithm that will predict the likelihood that a
piece of hardware or software will fail - and then to use that
information to predict the stability of much larger systems -
military vehicles, fly-by-wire software for aircraft, medical
technologies. Along the way, they developed a rare intuition for
statistics and probability, which allowed them to start to see
places where statistical analysis was being done in such a
slapdash way that it was leading people to believe things that…
didn’t make a lot of sense. At first they attributed this simply
to ignorance, but over the last few years underwent a dramatic
transformation. They went from believing in the standard
narrative, to questioning most of it. Their journey on this path
is detailed in the book “Fighting Goliath,” and the full
conversation is too hot for this platform - so can be heard
wherever you listen to podcasts by looking for DemystifySci #295
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(00:00:00) Go! (00:05:05) Academic Background and Bayesian
Applications (00:09:10) History and Basics of Bayesian Statistics
(00:15:34) Skepticism and Statistical Reasoning (00:20:29)
Bayesian Applications in Real-World Problems (00:23:26)
Engineering Complexity (00:27:09) Probabilities in Legal Cases
(00:34:05) Challenges in Legal Reasoning (00:45:56) Monty Hall
Problem and Probability Misunderstanding (00:50:18) Flaws in
Traditional Statistical Education (00:55:22) Misinterpretation
and Issues with Statistical Testing #Statistics,
#BayesianAnalysis, #Probability, #LegalReasoning,
#DataMisinterpretation, #StatisticalFallacies,
#BayesianStatistics, #MontyHallProblem, #PValueProblems,
#RealWorldApplications, #ComplexSystems, #ProbabilisticThinking,
#EngineeringReliability, #StatisticalEducation,
#MisunderstoodStatistics, #BayesianLogic, #LegalStatistics,
#MathematicalReasoning, #sciencepodcast, #longformpodcast Check
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https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S PODCAST INFO: Anastasia completed her PhD
studying bioelectricity at Columbia University. When not talking
to brilliant people or making movies, she spends her time
painting, reading, and guiding backcountry excursions. Shilo also
did his PhD at Columbia studying the elastic properties of
molecular water. When he's not in the film studio, he's exploring
sound in music. They are both freelance professors at various
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