#389 — The Politics of Risk

Sam Harris speaks with Nate Silver about cultural attitudes
toward risk and the state of American politics. They discuss the
erosion of trust in liberal institutions, polling and political
narratives, different camps of cultural elites, the influence of
Silicon Valley, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, Sam Bankman-Fried and the
fall of FTX, Gell-Mann amnesia, Christopher Rufo, why Kamala
Harris can’t admit to having changed her views, a problem with
strict utilitarianism, AI and existential risk, what people
misunderstand about election forecasting, which news events have
affected the 2024 race, how current polls might be misleading,
public vs. private polling, undecided and marginal voters, Gen Z,
the gender divide, the likelihood that Trump won’t accept the
election results if he loses, election integrity in the swing
states, the chance of a landslide, the prospect of public unrest,
and other topics.


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