HOW LONG UNTIL CATASTROPHIC DISCLOSURE? WITH DR. MATTHEW SZYDAGIS

Claims of retrieving crashed craft and vehicles
from non-human intelligence (NHI) abound in popular culture and
the media. For his paper, Dr. Szydagis utilizes
the number of such claims to estimate the years expected before a
Catastrophic Disclosure occurs.


This term was defined at the 2023 Sol Foundation's inaugural
conference as the accidental disclosure of conclusive evidence of
the existence of NHI, outside of the control of human
institutions, such as governments and militaries. 


Here, we will consider one possible example: the crash of a
piloted spacecraft (or an ET probe) in the middle of a busy
metropolis. The distribution of humans on Earth's surface, the
population as a function of time, and the fraction of individuals
owning smartphones, versus time, are all taken into consideration
as foundations for a rigorous statistical analysis.


You can read Dr. Matthew Szydagis's Paper
here: ⁠https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.12738⁠


Matthew Szydagis is the Associate Professor
of Physics University of Albany Experimental Astro particle
physics, specializing in particular direct detection of dark
matter WIMPs (Weakly Interacting Massive Particles), and general
detector development for rare event searches.