WTH is the Republican Primary Forecast? Josh Kraushaar on the Growing Field

Last week saw two more entrants into what is already a crowded
Republican primary field: Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.) and Governor
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) are officially in the running. Polling
suggests that DeSantis is the only real challenger to Donald
Trump, but the party base can only hope that his glitchy Twitter
announcement doesn’t belie a deeper weakness in the candidate’s
campaign. Tim Scott, by contrast, has embraced a more traditional
roll out and uplifting Reaganite rhetoric, but enjoys far less
popularity right now. There is a fine line to toe in the
Republican primaries – too few challengers may cede the field to
Trump; but too many entrants could fracture the non-MAGA voting
bloc into ineffective camps, also handing the primaries to Trump.
Meanwhile, the Democrats are hedging their bets with a “known
known” and sticking with Biden… so is a Trump-Biden rematch
inevitable? If not, does the GOP have the political dexterity to
capitalize on this unique election cycle and an increasingly
diverse voter base?


Josh Kraushaar is the editor-in-chief of Jewish Insider. He is
also a Senior Political correspondent at Axios, Fox
correspondent, and host of the Against the Grain podcast.
Previously, he was Editor in Chief of the Hotline, and a
co-author at the Almanac of American Politics.


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