In this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar top tech
investor Dan Niles warns that the market could drop as much as
50%, just like during the dot-com bust and the global financial
crisis. He unpacks the major risks that investors aren’t paying
enough attention to like AI over exuberance and demand being
pulled forward as a result of Trump’s trade war, while drawing
parallels to some of the worst market crashes in history.
Dan explains why his highest conviction idea right now is cash
despite the AI hype, and why some of today’s biggest tech names —
like Apple, Google, and Palantir — may be far more vulnerable
than most investors realize. He stresses his concern over
inflated valuations, making the point that “just because a stock
is popular doesn’t mean it’s safe".
One area Dan is optimistic about: networking infrastructure. He
names Cisco as one of his most intriguing picks, arguing it's a
forgotten name that could benefit as AI shifts from a build-out
phase to a data movement phase. With a low valuation, solid
fundamentals, and potential for a re-rating, Cisco — along with
cash, Microsoft, and (cautiously) Nvidia — rounds out his list of
favoured plays in a market he still views as overvalued and
vulnerable.
Whether you’re a long-term investor or a market watcher trying to
make sense of the rally, this is an essential deep dive from one
of Wall Street’s most seasoned voices.
Timestamps
00:00 Show Intro
3:40 Why Dan Niles is bearish right now and why cash is his
highest conviction idea
07:40 What would it take for Dan to come back to the market and
get out of cash?
09:35 Why Dan thinks a 50% drop in stocks is on the table
11:30 Why this time can be compared to the dot-com bust
17:33 Taking a look at the AARK Innovation Fund
19:15 But could this time be different?
24:25 ITM Mailbag: Dan’s thoughts on Palantir (PLTR) and its
sky-high valuation
27:40 Dan’s view on Shopify vs. Amazon (SHOP, AMZN)
34:15 Is Reddit a buy, sell or hold? (RDDT)
35:35: Break: Amber speaks to the CEO of Raymond James Canada
about how the company is helping clients navigate volatility and
change
38:15 Why Dan thinks Google will be a market share loser because
of AI
42:50 How does Dan see the Robotaxi battle playing out?
44:50 Where does Apple fit in?
47:00 Pro Picks: Why he likes cash the best but suggests some
other stocks (CSCO, MSFT, NVDA)
56:00 Goodbye & coming up
Sponsors
This episode is sponsored by BMO InvestorLine. Open a new BMO
InvestorLine account, and you could receive up to $3,500 cash
back. It’s a great way to jumpstart your investment plan.
Learn more at
https://bmo.com/onlineinvesting?ecid=pr-2886232INV1-JNBMO16
For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians
achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca
today to discover how you can live a life well planned.
Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial. With $62 billion in
assets, ATB Financial is powering possibilities for more than
820,000 financial services clients in Alberta and beyond. Visit
https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information
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In the Money delivers expert stock picks, market analysis, and
timely investing insights. Hosted by business journalist Amber
Kanwar, each episode features interviews with top portfolio
managers and financial experts. Covering everything from ETFs and
Canadian stocks to global investing trends, dividend strategies,
and risk management, this show is made for DIY investors, stock
market enthusiasts, and anyone looking to sharpen their financial
strategy.
Contact: questions@inthemoneypod.com
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