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Foresight, Tech and Trust: How to Plan Ahead When The Future Stops Behaving Linearly (EP 19)

Foresight, Tech and Trust: How to Plan Ahead When The Future Stops Behaving Linearly (EP 19)

The In-Between Tech and Trust Podcast vor 7 Monaten

0:00

36:19

️Prof. Dr. Heiko von der Gracht, Professor at the University of
Krems

Opening

Episode 19 of the in-between tech & trust podcast explores
how organizations can make better decisions under uncertainty
through foresight and scenario planning. In conversation
with Heiko von der Gracht, professor at the University for
Continuing Education Krems and long-standing practitioner of
foresight practices, the discussion looks at how trust,
technology, and perception shape what leaders think is possible.
It is especially relevant for people working with strategy,
innovation, or long-term planning in fast-moving environments.

Episode overview

The conversation examines foresight not as prediction, but as a
practical discipline for stress-testing assumptions and improving
choices when the future is unclear. Drawing on decades of
research and applied work, Heiko reflects on why uncertainty
feels overwhelming today, how media and digital systems influence
our perception of risk, and why traditional planning often breaks
down under rapid change.

The episode also looks at how trust is being reshaped by
scalable, anonymous technologies, and what this means for
organizations trying to act responsibly and coherently over time.

Key themes discussed

Why foresight is about decision quality, not forecasting
outcomes

The difference between actual uncertainty and how uncertain
the world feels

How complexity and speed interact to undermine linear
planning

Trust in digital environments shaped by anonymity, scale, and
weak accountability

Knowledge overload, misinformation, and the loss of shared
reality

Scenario planning as a strategic conversation rather than an
analytical exercise

Empirical evidence that sustained foresight investment
improves performance

The discussion also draws on Heiko’s involvement in global
foresight and governance contexts, including work connected to
the World Economic Forum and UNESCO, grounding the
conversation in both research and lived practice.